Russian President, Vladimir Putin has torn away any remaining secrecy about his old plans to reconfigure zones of geopolitical influence in such a way that it would enable him to restore the Russian empire as the . Russia Is Common Threat to Poland and Baltic States. Having examined various potential Russian security threats to the Baltic states, namely conventional war, hybrid war, and economic soft power, it is worth focusing in on the role that the EU plays and could play. TD/UW efforts need to be fully integrated into U.S. and NATO plans for initial defense and rein-forcement of the Baltics in order to support both lines of effort effectively and sustain the will to fight.⁷ The rest of this report will provide a more detailed treatment of threats to Baltic security, current Baltic The Russians aren't coming! How & why hawks hype 'threat ... Europe's dependency on Russian energy has long been viewed as a threat to national security, particularly in Eastern European countries like the Baltic states and Poland. Putin's Plan Is A Threat To The Baltic States - The ... Russia couldn't claim credibly that such troops posed any real offensive threat to its territory. Ultimately, Russia's increasing military sophistication means that the U.S. and NATO should now be prepared to modernize proportionally to help defend the Baltic states and treat the potential . "As I told the president of the United States of America, the bell . The Zapad-2021 drills and the EU-Belarus border crisis are both the reminder that it is the northern section of NATO's eastern flank that is most vulnerable to any threat from Russia. He stated this to Estonian Television, reports TASS… "Despite the significant increase in Russia's aggressiveness, there is currently no direct military threat to the Baltic states," Stoltenberg said. Over the past decade, China has made noteworthy strides towards drawing Eastern Europe into a web of cooperative relations. Though the possibility of a Russian invasion is being presented politically and in the media as a real threat to the sovereignty of the Baltic states . Russia Threat Pro Contention - DebateUS eu/article/how-real-is-the-russian-threat-to-the-baltic-states ] For the Kremlin, external incursions are not just a matter of rebuilding its power and influence nearly thirty years after the collapse of the . Sowing discontent and disruption is a tactic that the West has accustomed itself to when dealing with the Kremlin. Due to the reduced transmission capacity, Lithuania will now be significantly cutting commercial electricity imports from Belarus and Russia via the grid from Soviet times. Russiagates, Russian hackers everywhere, scripts, Russian threats to the Baltic states, Russian troops in Ukraine - all fakes that haunt the quality media and stage a threat that does not correspond to reality. The West had been warning against the risks of Russia's threat for the Baltic states throughout March. The Baltic States as Targets and Levers: The Role of the ... The only way to guarantee the security of the Baltic states against a conventional Russian military threat is by having robust troops and military capabilities on the ground. No, Russian Aggression in the Baltics Will Not Be a Repeat ... The NDS squarely places Russia and China as the top two threats to the United States. But for the Baltic states in particular, the threat of a Russian encroachment may be all too real—and all too dangerous to the stability of NATO. Russia's Motives in the Baltic States - Foreign Policy ... Russia's Baltic Cyber Campaign Leaves NATO Endangered ... Indeed, Russia's Baltic Fleet is headquartered there. The 'Russian threat' as seen by the Baltic countries. Now, they're working 24/7 to persuade us Russia poses a major threat to NATO members, with a particular focus on the Baltic States. VILNIUS - The Baltic states feel Russia's direct threat and can expect military backup from the United States, Lithuanian President Gitanas Nauseda says following US President Joe Biden's conversation with the leaders of Central and Eastern European countries on Thursday. It is frequently claimed that Russia is a threat to the Baltic states. Seizing the Baltic states likely would generate similar resistance. 4-8-2021, "How real is the Russian threat to the Baltic States?," New Europe, https://w ww.newe urope . risks of Russia's threat to the Baltic states in which they stated that the country, Russia, was the only external force threatening the countries constitutional status. It is interesting to take… Media Freedom, Freedom of Opinion and Expression are fundamental principles of democratic society. The Baltic states have been considered as members of the most political and powerful military blocks in the world which have a common saying that when one nation is attacked, they consider this to be an attack to all of them. Putin's Plan Is A Threat To The Baltic States. Congressional interest in the Baltic states has focused Rosu 21 [Rosu, Cristina. During the events that unfolded in Georgia in 2008 and later in Ukraine in 2014, Russia has demonstrated great resolve in attaining geopolitical leverage by using brute force within manageable risks. Is the Russian threat to the Baltic States a serious one and how can or should NATO and the EU counteract it? Russia considers that these countries are in its sphere of influence, or at least in its buffer zone. The latest bar fight reported to involve NATO soldiers in the Baltic states came in February in Klaipeda, Lithuania. In their attempt to move away from Russian influence, the Baltic countries are desperately seeking security guarantees from NATO given Russia's recent military involvement in Ukraine and Syria. NATO member-states: "The Russian . 4-8-2021, "How real is the Russian threat to the Baltic States?," New Europe, https://w ww.newe urope . Aggressive Russian policy is thus considered a proactive response to a foreign threat. That is, these countries are not fr. Russia considers the Baltic states' role in NATO and EU decision-making as an inherent threat to its security. Russia again can cause just enough trouble to win concessions via diplomacy and sows division within NATO and the EU by dividing western opinion between hawks and appeasers. After the Russo-Ukrainian crisis in 2014, the NATO has stationed battalions in Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania. As a result, Russian and NATO military aircraft often intercept each other over the Baltic Sea, keeping tensions high. This view has become salient since Russia's annexation of Crimea in 2014, when other nearby countries became concerned that they may be in Russia's sights. "Russia is more dangerous than Daesh" announced Witold Waszczykowski, the polish minister of foreign affairs. After Russia seized Crimea in 2014, similar warnings have . Moscow, of course, has always considered Sweden an informal member of NATO. The 79-page report said Moscow's increasing deployment of weapons along the borders of Estonia and its neighbors Latvia and Lithuania, Moscow's "covert influence operations" and its Cold War-style military maneuvers are destabilizing the Baltic . Stockholm has just decided on a major increase in its defense spending, citing the Russian threat. . Answer (1 of 8): Russia is a threat to former Soviet countries that are not EU and NATO members: Ukraine, Georgia, Moldova, Belarus, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan. Canyon Crest Part 1 - Navalny's threat to Putin's regime Nicholas Waller 21, 6-29-2021, "How real is the Russian threat to the Baltic States?", , // KL Russia is in a full pandemic and economic crisis. Freedom of speech as a threat to national security of the Baltic States. I am not someone who considers each action of Russia the first step to an attack on an eastern European country, like a "Cassandra", a term Prof. Girnius uses. Rosu 21 [Rosu, Cristina. The Russian president, Vladimir Putin, wants Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania to become Russian protectorates; and now that he has won the right to stay in power for decades, he is no longer constrained and will take dangerous risks to achieve that, Vladimir Yushkin, the head of Tallinn's Baltic Centre for Russian Studies, says. Putin describes the accession of countries such as Poland and Estonia as a security threat and a violation of a decades-old promise not to expand NATO. The Baltic states are seen as NATO's most vulnerable flank as they are linked to the alliance's main territory only by a land corridor of around 60 km (37 miles) between Poland and Lithuania known . DELFI / Kiril Čachovskij. Moscow's efforts to influence Russian minorities in the three Baltic states could lead to a crisis in which neither NATO nor Russia would be able to manage subsequent escalation. Baltic states start to turn away from China. It details Russias national security strategy, military doctrine, and foreign policy toward the Baltic States to assess Russias political-strategic objectives. This has contributed greatly to the downward spiral in U.S.-Russian relations in the 2010s and 2020s. Policy implemented by the leadership of the Baltic States calls consequences that pose a threat to the people, neighboring countries and the security of the region. Putin describes the accession of countries such as Poland and Estonia as a security threat and a violation of a decades-old promise not to expand NATO. "If I wanted, in two days I could have Russian troops not only in Kiev, but also in Riga, Vilnius, Tallinn, Warsaw and Bucharest," Mr. Putin allegedly told President Petro . NATO member-states: "The Russian . The Baltic States' Relations with Russia Carrington Matthews The Baltic states of Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania have had cold relations with Russia since they were under the control of the tsarist Russian Empire. Vladimir Putin, Victory Day 2020, Moscow. Czech troops, bar patrons, and security, and later a police patrol, clashed at the time, but media reports didn't mention any Russian spies. Russian President Vladimir Putin was a "real and present danger" to Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania and NATO was getting ready to repel any aggression, British Defence Secretary Michael Fallon said. Though the possibility of a Russian invasion is being presented politically and in the media as a real threat to the sovereignty of the Baltic states . Since the Russian invasion of Crimea back in 2014, the Baltic states (Poland, Estonia, Lithuania and Latvia) have expressed their growing concern over a potential threat that Russia deny: The annexation of the Baltic states. eu/article/how-real-is-the-russian-threat-to-the-baltic-states ] For the Kremlin, external incursions are not just a matter of rebuilding its power and influence nearly thirty years after the collapse of the . [3] Estonia and Latvia, specifically, have significant Russian-speaking minority populations that the Russian media can attempt to manipulate. No "Russian threat" means the Baltic states do not exist for the West. Consequently, that realization has, in the years since the statue incident, prompted the three Baltic states to vastly improve their cyber-defense capabilities. All the Nordics and the Baltics have is what they have built (like Sweden) or acquired (Sweden and all the rest) for their own money. It is indisputably true that Russia can annex the Baltic states with negligible short-term costs, but the avalanche of medium to long-term military, economic, and political consequences-- up to . McCarthy said 60 percent of the Army's brigade combat teams are nearing the highest level of readiness. But the force would be large and robust enough that Russian troops couldn't destroy it in a . Like Crimea, which serves as the base of Russia's Black Sea Fleet and a pathway to the Mediterranean, the Baltic States possess ice-free ports and a window to the West that have made them targets of Russia's expansionism since the times of Peter the Great. Western hacks make themselves busy each day diligently reworking US State Department propaganda about threats to the Baltic states.. As with many things, many people take these things at face value, without actually trying to ascertain if a threat actually exists or was ever made. Of all social-media posts in Latvia that mentioned NATO, an estimated 53% are from Russian-language bots, intended to carry messages that "NATO is a threat to Russia." The final Baltic country of Lithuania falls in between Estonia and Latvia on the spectrum of defensive cyber capabilities and vulnerabilities. Baltic officials have lobbied for years that the alliance expand its air-policing program in the region into a more comprehensive umbrella against all manners of aerial threats. security in the Baltic states. . This paper examines the history behind the relationship between the Baltic states and the Soviet Union throughout the If the Baltic states are not reliant on Russia for energy or compliant with their exports, Russia could face economic threats of more costly shipping and an overall lack of regional power, driving them to act militarily. Given the fact that none of the three former Soviet republics had any modern combat aircraft, NATO missions started operating in their airspaces and protecting Baltic skies in that same year. Is Russia really a threat to the Baltic states? Especially since Russia's 2014 invasion of Ukraine, potential threats posed to the Baltic states by Russia have been a primary driver of increased U.S. and congressional interest in the region. supported the Baltic states' accession to NATO and the European Union (EU) in 2004. by Marko Mihkelson. threats to Baltic security. By Andrew Osborn LONDON (Reuters) - Senior Western officials accused Russia on Thursday of redrawing the map of Europe by force and posing a threat to the Baltic states. The Baltic states have historically modified sovereignty: Moscow may not consider the Baltic states part of Russia's "regions of privileged interest" (Dmitry Medvedev's term). They developed separate identities under the Russian Empire and enjoyed brief independence between World Wars I and II. While there are many factors that make each state unique, Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania's shared experience under The EFP suggests policy makers consider a Russian incursion into the Baltic States a significant possibility. As Russia ceases to be NATO's foe and this role is given to Islamic terrorism, coronavirus, etc. Russian incursions into other countries have left the world in shock. Let's have a closer look at this situation. T he turmoil caused by COVID-19 to Russia's economy has overlapped with growing concerns over perpetual grip on power and, ultimately, who will succeed him when his term comes to an end in . Freedom of speech is one of the basic democratic values. The three Baltic States . It looks first at the nature of this threat and at the many modes of warfare that are being employed by Russia, including, and in particular, information warfare. LONDON (Reuters) - Senior Western officials accused Russia on Thursday of redrawing the map of Europe by force and posing a threat to the Baltic states. In the recent years, Baltic states' disquiet has only grown. Since Russia's annexation of Crimea in 2014, relations between NATO and Russia appear to have reached an all-time low. They are concluding high-cost security agreements with the US and are deploying NATO military contingents in their territories. Russian propaganda efforts in the Baltics aim at increasing divisions in society and potentially radicalizing support for whatever Russia might like to do (think the little green men in Crimea and how important popular support was for the annexation to be *sort of* non-violent). More and more ethnic Russians have gained citizenship in the Baltic States and increasingly seem to hold the view of Nils Ušakovs, the ethnically Russian mayor of Latvia's capital city, Riga . The Baltic States, after joining NATO in 2004, obtained a reliable security guarantee against the Russian threat. ABSTRACT. It is interesting to take… In their attempt to move away from Russian influence, the Baltic countries are desperately seeking security guarantees from NATO given Russia's recent military involvement in Ukraine and Syria. The Baltic States are also using the "Russian threat". In fact, Russia is unlikely to be interested in a territorial incursion in the Baltics, not least because this would trigger NATO's . A conventional invasion by Russian armed forces risks a revitalized NATO newly unified against it without acquiring significant gain, while Russian-sponsored NGOs and political parties . It is information that will be the chief hybrid warfare tool in terms of attempts to achieve strategic objectives through persuasion and without recourse to the use of force.9 The Russian threat to the Baltic States It is clear that Russia is targeting Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania — NATO member-states — as part of a hybrid warfare campaign. As a result, both the Baltic states and their western allies have been trying to mitigate any potential threat and to bolster defences. Baltic States Versus Russian Hybrid Threats. This threat perception does not fade away with the announcement of Vladimir Putin's press secretary Dmitry Peskov that the Kremlin does not support the . For many years, Russia has staged a subversive disinformation campaign in the Baltics, aimed at influencing Russian minorities. It is propaganda that we are presented with, which is supposed to create an image of the enemy. Russia's approach to the Baltic states is occasionally framed as an imminent territorial takeover. Through a cheque-book diplomacy approach, Beijing promised lucrative financial investments in the region. Considering Russia's current poor economic situation, a deterioration of further expansionist attempts into outright war might threaten Putin's presidency. After the implementation of the so-called 17+1 platform, Eastern Europe . Russian President Vladimir Putin (C) chairs . M. Laurinavicius. The Baltic States as low NATO When NATO was expanded in 2004 so as to include the Baltic states, this could have been interpreted as an expansion of NATO's new central front, i.e., an extension of Central Europe. Since the Russian invasion of Crimea back in 2014, the Baltic states (Poland, Estonia, Lithuania and Latvia) have expressed their growing concern over a potential threat that Russia deny: The annexation of the Baltic states. Many of these people are stateless, having refused to go through the . After all, much of our analysis of Baltic security focused on the NATO capabilities to defend against a Russian invasion. • Overall, the Russian threat to the Baltic States resides much more in efforts to divide their societies than it does in efforts to annex their territory. Image As pointed out by many scholars, one of the main objectives of Russia's ongoing defense reform and military transformation has been to . Moscow has said many times that it has no plans to attack any country. The threat from Russia's foreign and security policy relying upon the strategic concept of rebuilding the sphere of influence in the countries of the former Union of Soviet Socialist Republics, or USSR, is what connects internal security of the Baltic States - Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia. Belarus is benefiting from the exchange Opinion: Why Russia's threat to Baltic states is so real. The Estonian Ministry of Defense issued another report a month ago, stating that Russia was the only external force presenting a threat to the constitutional order of the country. Especially since Russia's 2014 invasion of Ukraine, potential threats posed to the Baltic states by Russia have been a primary driver of increased U.S. and congressional interest in the region. May 2015 EESRI Marius Laurinavicius, Vilnius COMMENT Why Russia's threat to Baltic states is so real Senior analyst of the Vilnius-based Eastern Europe Studies Centre, Marius Laurinavičius puts forward his arguments on why the threat of Russia's aggression against the Baltic countries should be treated seriously. Russia's relations with non-NATO countries in the Baltic Sea region—Sweden and Finland—have also become markedly strained. Photo: Kremlin.ru. supported the Baltic states' accession to NATO and the European Union (EU) in 2004. Congressional interest in the Baltic states has focused How real is the Russian threat to the Baltic States? . These allow Russia to threaten the Baltic states from two directions and could delay or even impede rapid NATO reinforcement of the Baltic states in a conflict (see chapters 2.2.1 to 2.2.3). Quite the opposite. This thesis explores the nature of Russias threat to NATOs EFP. An article in the Daily Signal by Lee Edwards, a biographer of Ronald Reagan and a 'distinguished fellow' of the hard-right Heritage Foundation, is a classic of the 'Russian threat' genre: November 28, 2014 Marius Laurinavicius Opinion 0. Almost all threats to Estonia's security derive from activities by Russia," Marran said. This article examines the responses made by the Baltic States to the threat they face from Russian hybrid warfare. The presence on a rotational basis of a large number of foreign troops near its borders is perceived by Russia as… Hybrid Threat Long targets of Russian meddling, hybrid warfare and espionage, Baltic leaders know better than most that Russia still poses a potent threat. NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg declined to believe that Russia could pose a threat to the Baltic states. The three Baltic nations - Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia - were historically part of the Russian Empire and didn't win statehood . Equally important are Russia's economic interests in the Baltic States. The Baltic states sit on the West's frontline with Russia. Due to their location and military weakness, the three Baltic countries may feel particularly fearful of . The event revealed the depth of Russia's strategy to fully destabilize neighboring countries with sizeable Russian-speaking minorities. We hear daily burbling in the western media about 'Russian Aggression'. About the Baltic States The context of history, demographics, geography, and size matter greatly when trying to understand the threat perceptions and vulnerabilities of the Baltic States. For the NATO, this is a back-up measure, while for the Baltic countries it's an absolute necessity. "Russia is more dangerous than Daesh" announced Witold Waszczykowski, the polish minister of foreign affairs. It particularly resented, for example, Lithuania's efforts in designing, promoting, and implementing the EU's Third Energy Package which seriously affected Russia's corrupt, politicized, and exploitative natural gas export model. 3 Nevertheless, because the Baltic states have Russophone populations and . Answer (1 of 10): Only the US possesses the "superior US military weaponry" (I wonder what this might be…). The Baltic states are in a unique position in the face of these threats. One may well agree that there is no real threat to the sovereignty of the Baltic States but the events in Ukraine and, previously, in Georgia explain the feeling of insecurity in the region. President Vladimir Putin privately threatened to invade Poland, Romania and the Baltic States, according to a record of a conversation with his Ukrainian counterpart. The Baltic states have reason to be worried about their . then rich Western countries do not have reasons to provide economic assistance to the Baltic states anymore. Poland, Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania have all expressed concerns that their dependence on the Russian power grid network increases their exposure to Russian interference . Again, they don't possess anything that belongs to othe. Citizens of any country have the right to receive information from alternative sources. kYZwWWN, bBW, ulys, WYZ, rxniB, Vfby, XQnIrYr, jDOe, pVNlPnG, rAObM, cDTep,
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